| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Texas | 14-7 | 2089.2 | +4.3 | 2093.5 | 58.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Grambling | 70-0 | 2093.5 | +26.7 | 2120.2 | 99.9% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | Ohio | 37-9 | 2120.2 | -2.3 | 2117.9 | 92.8% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | Washington | 24-6 | 2115.8 | +32.1 | 2147.9 | 72.8% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Minnesota | 42-3 | 2147.9 | +29.0 | 2176.9 | 89.4% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Illinois | 34-16 | 2176.9 | +19.9 | 2196.8 | 84.0% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Wisconsin | 34-0 | 2196.8 | +15.2 | 2212.0 | 95.9% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | W | Penn State | 38-14 | 2206.5 | +12.7 | 2219.2 | 83.0% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | Purdue | 34-10 | 2219.2 | -9.3 | 2209.9 | 97.1% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | UCLA | 48-10 | 2209.9 | +8.0 | 2217.9 | 96.1% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | W | Rutgers | 42-9 | 2217.9 | +7.2 | 2225.1 | 95.1% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | W | Michigan | 27-9 | 2225.1 | +3.7 | 2228.8 | 83.1% |
| 16 | Dec 6 2025 | L | Indiana | 10-13 | 2228.8 | -6.2 | 2222.6 | 48.2% |
| 20 | Dec 31 2025 | L | Miami | 14-24 | 2221.8 | -31.4 | 2190.4 | 75.5% |